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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/document/modeling-report/lung-cancer-screening
July 30, 2013 - and absolute number of lung cancer deaths prevented, and life-years gained compared with a reference scenario … When we simulated a scenario that looks most similar to the NLST design and inclusion criteria (A55-75 … The scenario that resembles the original NLST criteria the most (A55-75-30-15) leads to less benefit … These models cannot determine which efficient scenario is best, but are valuable tools that project the … was 37.4%.
** Average lung cancer deaths in no screening scenario was 3,719 per 100,000 persons
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/document/modeling-report/lung-cancer-screening-december-2013
July 30, 2013 - Since there are outputs from five models for each scenario, scenarios that were evaluated as appropriately … When we simulated a scenario that looks most similar to the NLST design and inclusion criteria (A55-75 … The scenario that resembles the original NLST criteria the most (A55-75-30-15) leads to less benefit … These models cannot determine which efficient scenario is best, but are valuable tools that project the … was 37.4%.
** Average lung cancer deaths in no screening scenario was 3,719 per 100,000 persons
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/home/getfilebytoken/RkeQEwKRWULreuWecXG8S-
July 01, 2013 - We added a lower-intensity reference scenario, for a
total of eight programs. … When we simulated a scenario that looks most similar to the NLST design and inclusion criteria
(A55 … The A60-80-20-25 scenario, which extends eligibility to individuals with fewer pack-years, is
still … Of the same three consecutive
scenarios, the A60-80-20-25 scenario extends screening to the highest … was 37.4%.
** Average lung cancer deaths in no screening scenario was 3,719 per 100,000 persons
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/document/modeling-study/lung-cancer-screening
March 09, 2021 - Scenario Simulation and Analysis
The CISNET simulation models were used to estimate the benefits and … eligibility criterion, the number of lung cancer cases and deaths, life-years gained relative to a scenario … More details are provided in the full report. 16
For each identified consensus-efficient scenario, … The 2013 USPSTF–recommended scenario was not 1 of the 57 consensus-efficient scenarios. … cancer mortality reduction of at least 9% appear in Table 1 along with the 2013 USPSTF–recommended scenario
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/home/getfilebytoken/TVsn4SVh_jtaeqSTyrz-Gp
March 09, 2021 - Scenario Simulation and Analysis
The CISNET simulation models were used to estimate the benefits
and … eligibility
criterion, the number of lung cancer cases and deaths, life-years
gained relative to a scenario … The 2013
USPSTF–recommended scenario was not 1 of the 57 consensus-
efficient scenarios. … c Recommended scenario by the 2013 USPSTF guidelines.
d Selected 20 pack-year consensus-efficient scenarios … c Only 2 models (MGH-HMS and UM) used for the data in this column.
d Recommended scenario by the 2013
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/document/final-modeling-study/aspirin-to-prevent-cardiovascular-disease-preventive-medication
April 26, 2022 - When a benefit of aspirin in reducing CRC incidence by 36% after 10 years of use (scenario 3) was included … When aspirin was predicted to reduce the risk of CVD death by 5% (scenario 4), an increase in net benefit … fatal major gastrointestinal bleeding at the same rate of nonfatal major gastrointestinal bleeding (scenario … Year ASCVD Risk
Scenario
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/procedure-manual/procedure-manual-appendix-xiv-decision-framework-assess-and-guide-need-searches-existing-decision-models
July 01, 2017 - Procedure Manual Appendix XIV. Decision Framework to Assess and Guide the Need for Searches of Existing Decision Models
Ba…
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/about-uspstf/methods-and-processes/procedure-manual/procedure-manual-appendix-xiv-decision-framework-assess-and-guide-need-searches-existing-decision-models
July 01, 2017 - Procedure Manual Appendix XIV. Decision Framework to Assess and Guide the Need for Searches of Existing Decision Models
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Background
Comprehensively identifying and evaluatin…
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/procedure-manual/procedure-manual-section-5-modeling
July 05, 2017 - Procedure Manual Section 5. Modeling
In addition to systematic reviews, the Task Force uses modeling to inform the recomme…
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/about-uspstf/methods-and-processes/procedure-manual/procedure-manual-section-5-modeling
July 05, 2017 - Procedure Manual Section 5. Modeling
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In addition to systematic reviews, the Task Force uses modeling to inform the recommendation process. The Task Force uses modeling only w…
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/home/getfilebytoken/MLeu_yFpPwzcZwKG6fw5ZY
April 26, 2022 - When a benefit of aspirin in reducing CRC inci-
dence by 36% after 10 years of use (scenario 3) was included … When aspirin was predicted to reduce the risk of CVD death by
5% (scenario 4), an increase in net benefit … fatal major gastrointestinal
bleeding at the same rate of nonfatal major gastrointestinal bleed-
ing (scenario
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/about-uspstf/methods-and-processes/update-methods-estimating-certainty-and-magnitude-net-benefit
April 01, 2019 - In the best-case scenario (that is, all positive screening test results are confirmed with magnetic resonance … The best-case scenario number needed to screen to prevent 1 stroke, therefore, is estimated at about … This range is bound by the best- and worst-case scenario estimates based on available evidence.
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/document/update-on-the-methods-of-the-us-preventive-services-task-force-estimating-certainty-and-magnitude-of-net-bene%EF%AC%81t/carotid-artery-stenosis-screening-december-2007
December 15, 2007 - In the best-case scenario (that is, all positive screening test results are confirmed with magnetic resonance … The best-case scenario number needed to screen to prevent 1 stroke, therefore, is estimated at about … This range is bound by the best- and worst-case scenario estimates based on available evidence.
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/home/getfilebytoken/nmcMhEwWT9BncBBBQQN6Uf
December 01, 2015 - Whereas
simulation of a single scenario for N=50,000,000 required more than 24 hours of computing time … In
addition, depending on the nature of the scenario, it is sometimes possible to impose
parallelism … We included a “no
screening” base-case scenario to estimate the percent mortality reduction associated … Overdiagnosis is calculated by comparing cases detected in the screening scenario to those detected in … the unscreened scenario.
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/Home/GetFile/1/16255/collabmodelingbc/pdf
December 01, 2015 - Whereas
simulation of a single scenario for N=50,000,000 required more than 24 hours of computing time … In
addition, depending on the nature of the scenario, it is sometimes possible to impose
parallelism … We included a “no
screening” base-case scenario to estimate the percent mortality reduction associated … Overdiagnosis is calculated by comparing cases detected in the screening scenario to those detected in … the unscreened scenario.
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/document/final-modeling-study18/colorectal-cancer-screening
May 18, 2021 - Scenario analyses were also simulated assuming IRRs of 1.00 (no change in incidence from the prescreening … Scenario Analyses
For each modality, efficient strategies were similar for the 3 colorectal cancer … strategies in all 3 models were primarily those with screening beginning at age 45 years regardless of risk scenario
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/document/modeling-study/cervical-cancer-screening
August 21, 2018 - report contains additional model calibration and validation results, as well as results from additional scenario … relative test sensitivity (compared with cytology) was decreased to a lower bound estimate mimics a scenario … of greater missed disease owing to hrHPV negativity; this scenario was the only one in which strategies
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/recommendation/lung-cancer-screening-december-2013
December 31, 2013 - Screening Scenarios From CISNET Models *
Screening Scenario
Benefit
Harm ‡
CT Screens … Note: Bolded row highlights the screening scenario with a reasonable balance of benefits and harms and
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/draft-recommendation/genital-herpes-serologic-screening
August 16, 2022 - in progress
Draft Recommendation Statement
Serologic Screening for Genital Herpes
August 16, 2022
Recommendations made by the USPSTF are independent of the U.S. government. They should not be construed as an official position of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality or the U.S. Department …
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www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/home/getfilebytoken/uhtgkZVs_bpNJ4_G4fXUay
March 01, 2014 - Screening Scenarios From CISNET Models*
Screening Scenario† Benefit Harm‡ CT Screens
per Lung
Cancer … Bold text indicates the screening scenario with a reasonable balance of benefits and
harms and that is